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Stock Market Performance During Presidential Elections
From:
Greg Womack -- Certified Financial Planner Greg Womack -- Certified Financial Planner
For Immediate Release:
Dateline: Oklahoma City , OK
Tuesday, August 25, 2020

 
 

David Kostin, the Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, wrote in a note to clients “The U.S. election is just 81 days away and represents a significant risk to our year-end forecast.”

Analysts often mention the uncertainty surrounding presidential elections in the United States, and this year is sure to be no exception. However, John Stoltzfus, CIO of Oppenheimer Asset Management told clients, “Embrace the uncertainty.” 

His research showed that historically, elections haven’t done much to prevent stocks from going up regardless of which political party prevails. Furthermore, Stoltzfus writes, “Uncertainty usually comes with opportunity and risk—two considerations essential in making investments.”   

A study by Deutsche Bank showed that in Presidential election years in which the contest is thought to be “close”, stocks generally go up until a month or so before the election, then pull back a bit, and then resume their uptrend from around the election through the end of the year.  Chart from Deutsche Bank.

 

 

 

Best regards,

Womack Investment Advisers, Inc.

  

WOMACK INVESTMENT ADVISERS, INC.
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