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GAZA WAR DIARY Tues-Wed. May 5-6, 2015 Day 299-300 Chag Lag B’Omer Sama’ech
From:
Gail Winston -- Winston Mid East Analysis and Commentary Gail Winston -- Winston Mid East Analysis and Commentary
For Immediate Release:
Dateline: Bat Ayin,Gush Etzion, The Hills of Judea
Wednesday, May 6, 2015

 

Dear Family & Friends,

Nice to see “The Hudabaiya Treaty” explained & expounded upon by others. Today: Steven Shamrak from Australia. Manny Winston, z’l, wrote at least 11 articles about Mohammed’s ‘head-chopping’ i.e., decapitation of 800 conquered Jewish men when he conquered the Jewish Qaraish (sp. varies) tribe in Mecca in order to initiate Muslim prayers at the monolith “Kaba’a Stone” after signing “The Hudabaiya Treaty” guaranteeing ‘peace’ with the Jewish tribe in Mecca for 10 years. The Kaba’a Stone is the symbol (idol) toward which Muslims bow to the ground during their prayers. You can see photos of masses of Muslims bowing toward Mecca with their back-sides facing the Temples’ site on the Temple Mount.

Do you remember when Arafat signed the First Oslo Accords that he told his audience in Arabic that he had signed “A Hudabaiya Treaty”? He had no intention of keeping the Oslo provisions for peace. That’s another pillar of Islam: “Taqqiyah” or Deception. In other words, lying to gain your own advantage for Islam was deemed ‘proper’ morality by Islam. How then do we Westerners try to make peace with Muslims on their terms? Why do we surrender our own Land, homes, synagogues, schools, cemeteries to create peace with an enemy who promises to annihilate the Jewish people & the Jewish State and which continually breaks all its agreements with their adversaries?

The Islamic Jihadis consult only one ‘Law’ book to rule their lives via Islam: The Koran & the Hadith (Oral traditions) or stories about Mohammed’s life are used to govern their own lives. Those traditions are the root of the decapitation brutally rearing its ugly head wherever Islamic Jihad is warring against each other or Westerners – especially Jews & Christians.

Too much but, it’s all good. Dip in. Watch out for the bonfires that traditionally light up the skies & every vacant plot of land the kids can get to with all the wood they can find.

Enjoy this mystical Chag. Have a great, safe night & carefree day.

All the very best, Gail/Geula/Savta/Savta Raba x 2/Mom

Our Website is still growing: WinstonIsraelInsight.com

2.Obama is Willingly Fooled by Classic Muslim Ploy From: Steven Shamrak

4.The Enlightened Kingdoms of San Remo

5.High suspense as coalition talks down to wire

6.Bennett’s dangerous game by Mati Tuchfeld

7.The Right’s self-destructive tendencies by Dr. Haim Shine

8.The Waqf and the Temple Mount By: Paul Gherkin

9.The Erosion of Free Speech by Denis MacEoin

10.PM orders demolition of EU-funded Palestinian ‘settlements’ in West Bank

Published on 06/29/2008 | by Emanuel Winston | Archived in: Muslim Policy

Why pretend that Arab Muslims will ever commit to a lasting peace with the Jewish State of Israel? The bedrock of their inconstancy comes from the Koran. Even when Arab Muslim leaders are not observant Muslims, they invariably fall back on the instructions of Koranic law and Mohammed’s teaching through the ‘Hadith’ (Islamic oral teachings) when they need to stir up their people.

Another reason for this deep and abiding hatred for non-Muslims is a backward society, locked in the time warp of the 7th Century by the Mullahs who condemn their people to jealousy and hatred for any people who trek forward and accomplish.

Every country’s Foreign Ministry with well-educated bureaucrats would know that making an agreement with Islamic-driven nation is like using disappearing ink. The leaders of the 22 Arab and/or the total 57 Islamic countries make agreements with impunity, knowing they can and will break them at any time convenient or necessary to them.

In fact, according to Islamic law, they must break said agreements made with ‘infidels’ (non-Muslims) within 10 years …according to the Hudaibiya Treaty Mohammed made in the 7th Century with the richest of the Jewish tribes, the Banu Quraizah (allies of the Quraish Tribe).

He made that treaty while he was militarily weak so he could worship at Mecca. But, in two years he returned with a strong army, broke the 10 year treaty, brutally murdered and decapitated all the 800 men, captured and enslaved the women and children of the Banu Quraizah Tribe. (1)

The very day Yassir Arafat signed the Oslo Accords he told his Arab audience in Arabic that the Oslo Accord was like the Hudaibiya Treaty. He would break it as soon as he was stronger. And, of course, he did – as often as he could. He unleashed his PLO Terrorists to rise up in their various ‘intifadas’ no matter how much the Jews foolishly offered them ancient Land G-d gave to the Jews in perpetuity. (2)

So-called diplomats in America, Europe, Asia and Russia know that when a Muslim/Arab leader is displaced by age, assassination or overthrow by a religious sect, the next leader must disavow all prior “peace” agreements in order to justify their new order of rule. The diplomats know the Arabs pay lip service to keep prior agreements if it serves the “Jihad”.

For example, Bashar Assad, President of Syria replaced his father, Hafez al-Assad when he died. Assad’s families and a small contingent of Alawite Muslim generals rule Syria with an iron hand and they easily control Bashar. The Alawites are roughly 10% of Syria’s population with the Sunnis about 80%. When (not if) the Sunnis overthrow the Alawites and Bashar, there will be a “New Order” of conduct and all prior agreements will be declared null and void. That would include Ehud Olmert’s transfer of the Golan Heights in a bid for a Gaza-like peace.

The Alawite minority with long-term pre-planning will escape to the sea-side fortress city of Latakia which the Assad family and the Generals have fortified with the best armaments taken from Syrian Army stores.

When the Sunnis control Syria and the Golan Heights, which Olmert-Livni- Barak – encouraged by Condoleezza Rice – wish to surrender to Syria, Israel will once again be under the guns, missiles and rockets of the radical Islamists.

Any prior agreements which Israel has or will sign, will be null and void (following Mohammed’s Hudaibiya Treaty). Be assured that the neither the U.S. State Department nor the European Union will object. As for the U.N., it votes and performs as if it’s a radical Third World nation controlled by the Arab Oil Bloc.

We have already seen how the Muslim Arabs behave when offered Jewish “Land for Peace” after the abandonment of Gush Katif/Gaza and 4 North Samarian communities in the name of peace. As forecast by this writer and many others, “Judenrein” (Jew-free) Gaza has morphed into a Global Terrorist firing base for Kassam rockets, mortars and Katyusha missiles.

Oslo failed and Gaza was even worse as Israeli leaders showed their inability to conduct the affairs of the nation and keep their citizens safe.

All the explosives, ammunition and high tech weaponry were sent by Iran and Syria, to be smuggled into Gaza with the assistance of President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt. The nations, including the Bush-Rice regime, had detailed intelligence about it but didn’t give a damn.

Remember when Israel made a grand gesture for the Camp David Accords? Israel surrendered the entire Sinai Desert with the oil fields discovered and brought to production by the Israelis that could have kept Israel energy independent. This “gift” of infrastructure, military bases, cities and homes as well as the energy was valued at $17 Billion at the time – probably many times that by today’s inflated dollars. This was another failed gesture to appease the Arab Muslims.

All Israel got in return was a piece of paper with all sorts of “peace” agreements and side letters but, the writing by the State Department, President Clinton and then President Anwar Sadat was in disappearing ink. None of the responsibilities stipulated for Egypt were kept – except for the absence of a full scale assault until Egypt wishes to join Syrian, Iran, Lebanon, Jordan, Hamas, Hezb’Allah and the Muslim Arab Palestinians in their next war, their “Final Solution to their Jewish problem” of the State of Israel in the Muslim crescent of the Middle East.

When Mubarak dies, retires or is assassinated, Egypt will likely come under the rule of the Muslim Brotherhood. All prior agreements made with Israel, with America as the guarantor, will disappear in an instant. The Muslim Brotherhood will control the vast Egyptian Army and the now (at least) $80 Billion of advanced armaments given (virtually free) to Egypt by America (who gave Egypt the money to pay for them) so Egypt could act as U.S. representative to occupy the Saudi oil fields as American care-takers. No doubt, Egypt, under the Muslim Brotherhood will occupy Saudi Arabia but, NOT on behalf of American interests.

That has been the Arabist State Department’s policy since the time Jimmy Carter effectively toppled the Shah of Iran and brought to power the then-exiled Ayatollah Khomeini. With the fall of Iran, America lost her Iranian “cop-on-the- block” the U.S. had used to protect the Gulf Oil States and the immense high tech American arms stockpile. America also lost their Phoenix missile system and her F14 Tomcat advanced fighter jet technology – which was passed on to the Soviets. Ex-President Jimmy Carter (called by some the worst President in U.S. history) is still stumbling around the Middle East, causing as much trouble as he can.

Perhaps you are starting to get the idea that trusting Muslim/Arab rulers to remain compliant and keep peace agreements is like squeezing Jell-O. Of course, if you are a Super Power like America, Russia or China, you can play that game of “pretended” agreements which you know won’t be kept – because history tells you so.

But, if you are a minuscule country like Israel, squeezed between hostile Muslim nations pledged to “Jihad” (holy war for Islam), with hundreds of thousands of hostile “Palestinians” festering inside your country, you cannot abandon defensive territory as confidence building gestures to strengthen your enemies who vow to destroy you.

The surrender of Land does, indeed, establish confidence but, it’s the kind of confidence that assures the Muslim Arabs that Israeli leaders are weak and ready to accept and encourage defeat. Regrettably, Israel’s present leaders meet the criteria of being weak, corrupt, crooked, and incompetent – except in maneuvers to keep their power – even if Israel is forced to accept a re-partition at their hands.

Recently, MK Aryeh Eldad, reading from Israel’s established and mandatory laws, states clearly that any Israeli attempting to give away their G-d given Land is either to be imprisoned for life or executed.

###

1. “War on Jihad” <http://www.waronjihad.org/ islam200905.html>www. waronjihad. org/islam200905.html

2. “ARAFAT OPTS FOR THE ‘HUDAIBIYAH’ TREATY” by Emanuel A. Winston June 27, 2002
<http://www.gamla. org.il/english/ article/2002/ june/win1. htm>www.gamla.
org.il/english/ article/2002/june/win1.htm
Here is a short list of articles we have written about the HUDAIBIYAH TREATY:

“WORDS ARE NOT BINDING” August 1998

“CNN: EYELESS IN GAZA” January 1999

“THE GREATEST LIE EVER TOLD ABOUT JERUSALEM” January 10, 2001

“A DIPLOMATIC PERFIDY” March 3, 2002

“KISS THE HAND OF YOUR ENEMY UNTIL YOU CAN CUT IT OFF” August 1, 2002

“ISLAM HAS DECLARED WAR WITH EVERYONE!” October 5, 2003

“KILLING AMERICANS IN GAZA” October 16. 2003

“MUSLIM BAIT & SWITCH” Sep 9, 2004 & “BEWARE MUSLIM BAIT & SWITCH” Sep. 13, 2004

“ARAFAT MURDERED U.S. DIPLOMATS” September 29, 2004

“WHAT IS ARAB ISLAMIC TRADITION & HISTORY WHEN IT COMES TO TREATIES & PEACE-MAKING? ” Nov. 2006

P.S. [I definitely remember reading that Hosni Mubarak (Egyptian President since Sadat was assassinated) declared that the Camp David Peace Treaty was null and void after 10 years (like the Hudaibiya Treaty) – but, no one noticed. However, I cannot find the reference – Gail Winston]

winston-drawing
Emanuel Winston

About the Author: BIOGRAPHY OF EMANUEL A. WINSTON by GAIL WINSTON

Manny Winston, my late husband, flew from Chicago to Israel to volunteer during the Yom Kippur War in 1973. He arrived with US secretary of state Henry Kissinger’s first ceasefire on October 21; I followed on October 30th.

Manny was picking grapefruit at Kibbutz Dalia when his friend, the artists, Sol Baskin called with a permit to enter the war zone. They drove to meet Gen. Ariel “Arik” Sharon at the Suez Canal. “Shalom” Baskin was part of the Mahal volunteers from America to the IDF, and a commissioned officer in Mahal. He was Arik’s commanding officer during the 1948 War of Independence, and they remained friends.

Manny brought his two Leica cameras and photographed an outstanding photo exposé on October 29 and 30. He saw and smelled the “killing fields” He met with Sharon, the young soldiers who had survived the destroyed tanks and he saw how the blown tank turret, flipped upside down destroyed the lives of those brave souls inside.

Manny did see these effects and, because he was a true Renaissance man, a graphic thinker who was a painter, sculptor and political analyst, he envisioned a solution to the weak point of the tank. He described a technique to conquer that weakness to Sharon, who sent him to Maj.-Gen. Israel Tal, the developer of the famed Merkava tank.

Manny’s “leap of imagination” created what became “Blazer” or “Reactive” Armor. He designed rectangles of hollow metal boxes with an explosive charge inside. These ‘so-called’ “skirts” were placed around the neck of the tank turret so that when hit, the explosive charge therein would push the incoming ballistic missile out, thereby saving the tank and its crew. This was compatible with the primary goal of Gen. Tal’s Merkava tanks: Defense of the Tank Crew.

That, along with speed, maneuverability, effective shooting and protection against damaging desert sand, were what made the Merkava “The Tank a Jewish Mother Would Love,” as Manny called it.

He also designed a better bridge for crossing the Canal – easier to carry and assemble, and less susceptible to the huge holes the tanks had already created on the day’s existing bridge.

Manny continued to submit creative concepts for defense and offense to Israel’s military industries – for which he received his Israeli citizenship and security clearance. Many of his concepts and ideas were adopted throughout the years. He never asked for credit or remuneration but even today, I see his concepts being used, either in action or in military articles.

Someday I hope to publish the “WINSTON DEFENSE DESIGNS,” either online or in a book – a very big book, with his original drawings.

The Yom Kippur War was a seminal turning point in Israel’s history. We did win. It was a miracle, given the forces mounted against us, in number and backed up the Soviet Union.

We have 40 mounted color photographs by Emanuel A. Winston, ready to show at a traveling or permanent exhibition, which will enhance our appreciation of what our men and generals went through and achieved.

The Yom Kippur War was also a seminal turning point in the lives of the Winston family. It was our second trip to Israel. We had tried to make Aliyah in 1962 but didn’t succeed. I made Aliyah on November 7, 1979. Manny died on June 12, 2012, and is now buried on the Mount of Olives.

I sold the home he built in Highland Park, Illinois in August 2012, and brought his manuscripts and published papers, to the home I built in Israel in 1992. Two of our sons and their families also live in the Jewish State.

My heartfelt message for you, dear reader, is to invite all my friends, family and Internet friends to come to Israel. This is where a Jew can be truly Jewish.

Related Posts

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Arafat Opts for the ‘Hudaibiya’ Treaty ?

From: Steven Shamrak, Australia by shamrakreport@gmail.com

2.Obama is Willingly Fooled by Classic Muslim Ploy

[see EA Winston above]

“If one wishes to have even a basic understanding of the underlying principles involved in Middle East politics, then one must first understand the history and implications of the Treaty of Hudaibiyah,” Joel Richardson, author of the New York Times-best seller “The Islamic Antichrist”.

He believes Obama committed a “brazenly amateur” gaffe by failing to understand who he was dealing with – an Iranian regime steeped in Islamic law. (Obama is not fooled – he studied the Islamic law during his schooling in Indonesia!)

The rules the mullahs follow trace back to the life and example of Muhammad, he said. “And one of the most important tactical victories in Muhammad’s career is what is known as the Treaty of Hudaibiyah.” [See above & on our Website: “Don’t Pretend! Read “The Hudaibiyah Treaty.” By Emanuel A. Winston

Muhammad made this treaty with the pagan Quraysh tribe of Mecca, which was the most powerful tribe in the region at the time.

The Qurayshis entered into a 10-year peace pact with Muhammad and lived to regret it. But Muhammad saw an opportunity.

Freed from any military threat from the most powerful tribe in the region, he suddenly “received a revelation” from Allah, Richardson said.

This revelation can be found in Surah 48 of the Quran. It begins with “Surely We (Allah) have given to you a clear victory.”

With the Qurayshis sidelined, Muhammad began attacking several large Jewish tribes in Arabia.

Any men who joined the Muslims in war would receive a significant share of the plunder, booty, slaves and female prisoners.

Change of Rules of War is Needed by Gedalyah Reback May 4 & 5 Conference

Israelis have long complained about double standards when it comes to their right to fight wars of self-defense. Often times there is a level of scrutiny on Israel’s battlefield operations, unmatched compared to international media evaluations of wars launched by Western countries or even the recent Saudi air campaign in Yemen. Even at a fundamental level, there are some points when Israel’s entire justification for a war of self-defense is undermined by Israel’s detractors eager to delegitimize any substantial military action takes, no matter its opponent…

An issue raised by many in the legal arena – not only in Israel – is that the current rules of war enshrined in the Geneva Conventions do not weigh proper consideration for the effect of non-state actors: terrorist organizations, rebel groups, separatist provinces and the like. Asymmetric warfare presents major issues where enemy fighters operate among civilians and will often wear plain clothes. Thus, without being able to identify an enemy combatant by his uniform, a soldier will avoid an apparent civilian who is actually a legitimate target…

“We need urgently to discuss fresh ideas for removing the incentive for Hamas and other armed terrorist groups like the PLO and Hezbollah to break the law when they fight against democracies like Israel,” said Darshan-Leitner of Israeli law center Shurat HaDin.

What is lacking in international law that requires this conference here and now? Is it the lack of solid definitions of terms like “proportionality” and “terrorism?” Is it broader than that?

MAY 6, 2015

Speaking at Shurat HaDin’s Conference, ”Towards a New Law of War,” Israel Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon said that lawfare and the international effort to delegitimize Israel are hurting the morale of Israeli soldiers.

The Israel Defense Forces abide international law, Israeli law and “our values, in which we sanctify life,” against an enemy that could not care less about law or values and sanctifies death, the minister said.

But after every round of hostilities, “when it comes to international bodies,” like the UN Human Rights Council, “we find ourselves in a war after the war,” Minister Ya’alon said.

Minister Ya’alon on Tuesday delivered the closing speech at “Towards a New Law of War,” a Jerusalem conference focused on the law of war as it applies to the contemporary battlefield.

The conference opened Monday with addresses by Nitsana Darshan-Leitner, founder and president of Shurat HaDin-Israel Law Center; Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz, former chief of staff of the IDF, and Lt. Gen. David P. Fridovich, former deputy commander, U.S. Special Operations Command.

Minister Ya’alon said that when the IDF considers an operation, it looks at a variety of factors: among them the military necessity of the effort, the distinction between combatants and non-combatants, and the question of how to minimize civilian injuries and deaths.

“Sometimes we can’t avoid collateral damage,” he said. Hezbollah, Hamas and Islamic Jihad hide behind civilians, “which is a war crime,” he said.

“We give up” the element of tactical surprise “by calling civilians” in Gaza neighborhoods and telling them that “we are going to act and they have to leave,” he said.

The IDF alerts affected areas via the media, a system of phone calls and dropping fliers from the air.

But Hamas pushes these civilians back to these neighborhoods, “understanding our sensitivities” toward hurting civilians, he said.

He said that when soldiers commit crimes, they should be brought to trial. But the IDF “must be very delicate in deciding when [and] where” to bring charges against soldiers after battles. And it must not “automatically [open] a criminal investigation because civilians were harmed,” Ya’alon said.

He personalized the IDF’s decision-making efforts. He said his first consideration is the “mirror judgment,” the idea that he could still look himself in the mirror after approving an operation.

He said that Israel also must fight back in the international arena, refuting the blood libels thrown at the country. He called on supporters to use talkbacks, Facebook and the Internet generally to make Israel’s case. [Try to see this on their blog! This statement was his answer to MY question: “What can we do to help you combat this world-wide attack via media, the UN, the ICC, the various Human Rights apparati, etc?” Wow! Talk about getting a great ‘talkback’ for what I’m doing every day & night, send you all the Gaza War Diaries. Some of you have asked why I still pin it to Gaza. The topics discussed over the last 2 days are one very big reason why! Gail’s personal comment. Thank you DM Moshe Ya’alon. You are a great leader of our men & women at risk, defending the rest of us. Your “mirror judgment” is the most moral statement I’ve ever heard from a military man! These values should be taught to all the new (& old) IDF men & women – continually. Then, they will emerge from war’s inevitable horrors with their heads & hearts clear & straight. Then, we don’t have to worry so much about the mental well-being of those of our own who in our ongoing battles for survival. Thanks again.]

I’ll write more of what was said at this marvelous Conference in future Diaries.

5.High suspense as coalition talks down to wire

PM Benjamin Netanyahu has until midnight Wednesday to inform president he has formed coalition • Habayit Hayehudi leader Naftali Bennett plays hardball at last minute • Habayit Hayehudi’s Ayelet Shaked closing in on justice portfolio.

Mati Tuchfeld and Israel Hayom Staff

Bennett-netanyahu


The coalition talks have turned into a suspenseful, nerve-wracking drama, as the midnight Wednesday deadline for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to inform President Reuven Rivlin he has formed a coalition looms.
Naftali Bennett & PM Binyamin Netanyahu confer

With Kulanu, Shas and United Torah Judaism already on board, Likud only needs to add Habayit Hayehudi to form a narrow, 61-member coalition. But in the wake of Yisrael Beytenu leader AvigdorLieberman’s announcement earlier this week that his party would not join the coalition, Habayit Hayehudi leader Naftali Bennett is playing hardball and demanding additional ministerial portfolios for his party. After nearly a full day in which there was no communication between Likud and Habayit Hayehudi, talks were renewed on Tuesday evening, and it was believed a compromise would ultimately be found which would allow a coalition deal to be signed at the last minute.

At a faction meeting on Monday night, Habayit Hayehudi gave Bennett the authority to negotiate on the party’s behalf. About an hour after the meeting ended, Bennett sent Netanyahu a message in which he said he intended to demand the defense, foreign affairs or justice portfolio as a condition for entering the government. Netanyahu refused to give Habayit Hayehudi the defense or foreign affairs portfolios. Regarding the justice portfolio, Netanyahu said that although he planned to give it to a Likud member, he might consider giving it to Habayit Hayehudi if Bennett gave up the education portfolio. Bennett declined this proposal, as he planned to give the justice portfolio to Habayit Hayehudi No. 3 Ayelet Shaked and keep the education portfolio for himself.
Early Wednesday afternoon, it was reported that it had been agreed Shaked would get the justice portfolio.
Likud officials on Tuesday applied heavy pressure on Habayit Hayehudi officials and religious Zionist rabbis to push Bennett to sign a coalition deal. If Bennett does not join the coalition, Rivlin could give the mandate to form the government to Zionist Union leader Isaac Herzog, which would mean the ousting of the Right from power.

Likud MK Miri Regev said, “I call on Bennett to immediately join the government, enabling the establishment of a nationalist government. It is time to start working and stop playing ‘all-you-can-eat’ games.’ Habayit Hayehudi is a natural partner for Likud. Despite the number of seats Habayit Hayehudi won, the prime minister was very generous with his proposals to Habayit Hayehudi and offered it important portfolios, with the ability to get things done and influence Israeli society and the settlement enterprise. Bennett must not be the one who prevents [the establishment of] a nationalist, right-wing government.

“If we have to go to a [new] election, I have no doubt the small and medium-sized parties will pay the price.”

On the other side, Habayit HeYehudi accused Likud of humiliating it during the course of the coalition talks, particularly when Likud gave Shas control of the rabbinical courts and did not agree to appoint a Habayit Hayehudi member as deputy religious services minister.

Netanyahu has until midnight Wednesday to tell Rivlin he has successfully formed a coalition. If he does so, the new government would be sworn in next week. If he fails to do so, Rivlin would hold another round of consultations with party leaders and then give another MK, most likely Zionist Union leader Isaac Herzog, the mandate to form the government.

High suspense as coalition talks come down to wire


6.Bennett’s dangerous game Mati Tuchfeld  by Mati Tuchfeld

Anyone who has followed the endless saga of the coalition talks has found it difficult not to notice the complete disconnect between the politicians and the everyday citizens of this country. The election took place so long ago that it has almost been forgotten, yet instead of getting to work and starting to implement the reforms they promised, politicians are still busy seeking ministerial portfolios and other goodies until the last possible moment before the legal deadline for a new government to be formed.

As part of the normal populist discourse here over the years, there have always been post-election complaints about bloated governments with too many ministers and other unnecessary positions. But recently, this disease has grown worse, and now the head of every party wants at least three portfolios and every minister who is not running two ministries at the same time feels deprived.

Both Habayit Hayehudi leaders and voters feel embittered by how the coalition talks have played out, but for different reasons entirely. Habayit Hayehudi Chairman Naftali Bennett is upset because he was forced to reluctantly give up his pursuit of the foreign affairs portfolio and settle for the education portfolio. Even when he described how he suddenly fell in love with the education portfolio, there were probably very few people who believed him.

Habayit Hayehudi voters, on the other hand, are mostly angry about the transfer of control of the Religious Services Ministry and the rabbinical courts to Shas. Their anger is directed at Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Bennett is exploiting this anger to try to exhort a few more portfolios from Netanyahu, even though it was Bennett himself who agreed to give up the Religious Services Ministry and the rabbinical courts. The Likud-Shas coalition deal was sent to Habayit Hayehudi for review a day before it was signed. But no response from Habayit Hayehudi was received.

It is not clear how events will transpire on Wednesday, but it is widely believed Netanyahu will ultimately find a way to cobble together a 61-member coalition by the midnight deadline. After Yisrael Beytenu leader Avigdor Lieberman’s huge betrayal of right-wing voters earlier this week, Bennett’s following of a similar path could prove dangerous for him. Lieberman and Bennett have different constituencies. Habayit Hayehudi voters, unaware of what has taken place behind the scenes in the coalition talks, may be mad at Netanyahu, but thwarting the establishment of a right-wing government would probably be a step too far for them. To this very day, they remember the toppling of Yitzhak Shamir’s government in 1992, which led to Yitzhak Rabin’s electoral victory and the signing of the Oslo Accords. Netanyahu’s downfall would almost inevitably lead to the end of Bennett’s political path as well.

Even if Bennett’s tactics pay off for him, the benefits he accrues could prove to have a very short life span. Likud voters want a right-wing government. But if, after such a government is established, they feel Netanyahu is being squeezed by Bennett, they will give Netanyahu the backing to replace Bennett and Habayit Hayehudi with Isaac Herzog and the Zionist Union at the first possible opportunity, and all signs indicate that this is what Herzog is hoping and waiting for impatiently.

Bennett’s dangerous game by Mati Tuchfeld


7.The Right’s self-destructive tendencies Haim Shine by Dr. Haim Shine

The Israeli democracy we cherish and prize is fragile, and if we fail to guard it, we may find that it fails to guard us.

Many in the Israeli public are becoming increasingly tired of the way elected public officials, inspired by sanctimonious ideology and deluded whims, are conducting themselves. Distrust between the public and its officials is the first sign of destructive internal disintegration, from which there may be no return.

The March 17 elections were personality-based. The Left, with overwhelming backing from the media, stated “Anything but Bibi,” but the voters made a clear choice — “Only Bibi.”

Likud voters, as well as Habayit Hayehudi, Yisrael Beytenu and the majority of Kulanu voters, expressed their clear preference to see Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu head a right-wing government. The voters did not believe, not for one second, that Zionist Union leaders Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni, Meretz leader Zehava Galon, and Yesh Atid head Yair Lapid could possibly lead Israel through the complex geopolitical reality of the Middle East.

Yisrael Beytenu leader Avigdor Lieberman and Habayit Hayehudi leader Naftali Bennett’s recent antics are a defiant, blatant breach of their constituents’ trust, which undercuts right-wing voters’ collective wishes.

Yes, the Israeli Right has self-destructive tendencies. The results of the elections facilitated the formation of a stable right-wing government, which in turn could realize the vision of the Jewish and democratic state, but much like in the past, something rears its head to undermine it.

Hubris and opinionated animosity may undermine the efforts to maintain a united Jerusalem, build the land of Israel and promote a just society. Past experience has taught us that overreaching may see one end up with nothing, but it seems there is little that can be done against politicians who strive to grab all they can get, here, now, and as fast as they possibly can.

Lieberman has suddenly become the quintessential ideologue — a man of unwavering principles. All he has managed to do, however, is to make the public smile in disbelief. If we were giving out awards for political cynicism, Lieberman would definitely be named a winner.

Yisrael Beytenu’s leader was not elected to the Knesset over his achievements as an MK, party leader, or a member of the government — none that I can think of anyway. Those who voted for Lieberman’s party were willing to overlook the grave corruption case involving Yisrael Beytenu, because they believed their vote would bolster the Right, but lo and behold — their party had forsaken the right-wing government in favor of the opposition.

The only way I can think to describe such conduct is deception.

Bennett, for his part, is angry, which is understandable given that the higher the expectation the greater the disappointment. The polls predicted Habayit Hayehudi would mark a glorious election victory and secure 20 Knesset seats, but reality served the party with eight mandates.

A visionary’s true tests is his ability to rise above personal interests and focus on the greater mission at hand, on advancing land, spirit and man. This is the legacy of former Prime Minister Menachem Begin.

Habayit Hayehudi’s conduct over the past day adds little to its character, especially if you believe the vision is greater than any one man. What good is ideology, if the desire for a government portfolio is so great that Bennett is willing to cede the country’s leadership to those who for years have shown nothing but contempt for the Zionist spirit and way? Only God has the answer.

The Right’s self-destructive tendencies by Dr. Haim Shine

From: Steven Shamrak, Australia by shamrakreport@gmail.com [Pt. 2 cont.]

IDF Mission in Nepal

Dozens of countries send rescue teams to disaster areas around the world, but none of them have such professional, devoted, brave and experienced doctors and officers like the Israelis. Israel’s aid team to the earthquake-battered Himalayan nation of Nepal is the largest in manpower of any international aid mission.

There is a strange potion called Israeliness: It melts the “impossible” and creates resourcefulness and determination even when the odds seem slim. If there are no Nepalese drivers at night, they are woken up; if the trucks don’t fit, their side panels are removed; when the locals say “we can only do it tomorrow,” they are woken up shortly after midnight.

The Israeli rescue force includes the best people in the country. We arrived in Nepal and we have been to Haiti and Turkey. If needed, we’ll go all the way to Antarctica.

No UN Condemnations – No ICC Investigations!

An observer group says US strikes hit town without any terrorists in it, killing 7 children, although more are still trapped in the rubble. The incident brings to mind reports last November showing that 96.5% of the casualties from US drone strikes in the Middle East were civilians, a figure which shows how remarkable the IDF’s.

Food for Thought by Steven Shamrak

International anti-Semitic bigots deliberately ignore the facts that Israel has no legitimate negotiation partner – the last PA election was won by Hamas and new elections are long overdue; and it was Abbas who ended negotiations with Israel by starting international an anti-Israel diplomatic assault in the UN and ICC! Now, the ‘Islamic revolution’ infiltrated the Western world – 47% of European Jihadists in Syria, Iraq are French – but its leaders are still deliberately blind!

Israel Eleventh Happiest Country

Israel was the eleventh happiest country in the world in 2014 – outranking the US, UK, and numerous European countries. The world’s top 10 happiest last year were Switzerland, Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Canada, Finland, the Netherlands, Sweden, New Zealand, and Australia.

Calm is just Another Temporary Fix!

For several weeks now, official representatives from Israel have been holding a real dialogue with an Islamic terrorist group in a bid to reach a long-term calm on the Gaza border. (At any time convenient for them, the enemy will break an agreement with Israel. Only the removal all of them from Jewish land will bring peace to Israel!)

Keep Enemy Supporters Away from Israel

Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman slammed South Africa, after the country’s communist party labeled Israel an “apartheid state”. The South African Communist Party’s (SACP) statement came after Israel refused to grant an entry visa to the party’s Higher Education Minister, Blade Nzmande, to visit PA-controlled territories. (What chutzpah – they are killing Africans from other states, but condemn Israel!)

Anti-Semitic Justice of the US Government!

Former CIA Director David Petraeus was given two years of suspended sentence, plus a $100,000 fine for giving his mistress classified material while she was working on a book. (Jonathan Pollard, who gave Israel information about enemies – which the US, supposedly friend of the Jewish state, should provide but had kept hidden – is still serving a life sentence in the US prison! Many of us would pay a $100,000 fine for his freedom!)

Hezbollah Built Airstrip for Drones

Hezbollah has reportedly built an airstrip designed for its fleet of unmanned aerial vehicle. Earlier this month, a US Army report said Iran is building a fleet of so-called “suicide kamikaze drones,” and providing know-how on assembling these new weapons to its terrorist allies Hamas in the Gaza Strip and Hezbollah in Lebanon.

IAF Struck Hezbollah Scud Missile Convoys

The targets were centers and mobile forces from Brigades 65, 155 and 192 of the Syrian Army, which possess heavy missiles that were meant for Hezbollah, the Shiite Lebanese militia that is a proxy of Iran. One strike targeted a convoy that carried surface-to-surface missiles, Scuds, to Hezbollah. Another raid hit a missile depot in the strategic western Syrian region at al-Qalamoun.

Israel Must Look at Other Fighter Jet Options

France is making an aggressive bid to sideline the F-35 and to sell its own jet fighter, Rafale, to Canada, offering to transfer technology. Right now the F-35 is the best choice for sneaking past enemy ground radar, but this may change in the future.

F35 Range – 2,220 km Top speed – 1,930 km/h

Rafale Range – 3,700 km Top speed – 2,130 km/h

(With technology transfer option Israel will be able built an even better fighter!)

Iranian Nuclear Business as Usual

Britain has informed a United Nations sanctions panel of an active Iranian nuclear procurement network linked to two blacklisted firms, according to a confidential report by the panel seen by Reuters. The existence of such a network could add to Western concerns over whether Tehran can be trusted to adhere to a nuclear deal due by June 30 in which it would agree to restrict sensitive nuclear work in exchange for sanctions relief. But, the United States and the International Atomic Energy Agency have repeatedly said that Tehran has so far complied with the terms of a limited agreement struck in November 2013.

Double Israeli Trade within a Decade

The incoming Chinese Ambassador Zhan Yongxin presented his diplomatic credentials to Rivlin, he said, “I bring with me the greetings of the Chinese President, and wish to express my appreciation of the warm welcome I have received in Israel.” The talk of doubling trade volume comes as Israel and China plan to discuss a Free Trade Agreement this year, amid rapidly growing bilateral ties. Israel has been actively developing an Asian alliance, boosting ties with China, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and India.

Quotes of the Week:

“Much has been said about the strange behaviour of Barack Obama, who can’t let a day go without maligning Israel and Mr. Netanyahu… No doubt the dislike is there, but what underlies the animosity of Obama toward PM Netanyahu goes beyond schmoozability to seismic differences in outlook and policy. In fact, at Mr. Netanyahu’s very first White House meeting, before they really knew each other, Obama purposely mistreated PM Netanyahu by forcing him to enter through a side entrance and, then, abruptly left the meeting and went upstairs by himself for dinner while leaving PM Netanyahu and his staff without hospitality or even a piece of bread. This was a deliberate, unheard of disparagement, directed more at Israel, the state represented by Netanyahu.” Rabbi Aryeh SperoIt is most likely the ingrained anti-Semitism or/and hidden Islamism behind the anti-Israel tendency of Obama!

This week editorial is not sponsored by or affiliated with any government, political party or organization. The aim is to present Jewish point of view on Arab-Israel conflict and motivates Jewish people and our true friends to uphold ideals and inspirations of traditional Zionism – Jewish National independence movement. (Your financial support is welcome)

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8.The Waqf and the Temple Mount By: Paul Gherkin JewishPress.com Pub: May 4, 2015

Jewish artifacts
Discovery of Jewish artifacts at base of Temple Mount dating to period before creation of Islam

{Originally posted to the author’s website, FirstOne Through} Summary: According to Muslims, the Temple Mount is held in “trusteeship” by the Islamic Waqf, which assures its use and access as a mosque. The role of the Waqf has nothing to do with sovereignty of the land on which it resides. The most sensitive issue of the Israel-Arab conflict is considered to be the Temple Mount in Jerusalem.

TEMPLE MOUNT

The Temple Mount is a 35 acre platform that held the second Jewish Temple from around 515CE to 70CE. Herod extended the platform on which the Temple sat southward to enable the greater flow of the thousands of Jews that came to the Temple to perform their rituals. The platform extension project ran from 19BCE to 63CE and Jews enjoyed the benefit of his work until the Romans destroyed the Temple in 70CE.

The area is considered sacred to Muslims as they believe Mohammed had a night journey from Saudi Arabia on a flying horse to that location before ascending to heaven. When Arabs invaded Jerusalem in 627CE, they built the al Aqsa Mosque on the southern edge of Temple Mount (completed in 705CE and rebuilt in 1033) to commemorate the importance of the location. The other structures on the Temple Mount include the Dome of the Rock, the Dome of the Chain, the Dome of the Prophet and various other structures which are NOT mosques, but shrines.

Jews had access and were able to pray on the Temple Mount until around the year 1550, when Suleiman I began a series of “improvements” to Jerusalem. He ordered the rebuilding of the city walls and moved the Jews off of the mount to an area now referred to as the “Kotel” or “Wailing Wall” or “Western Wall”, a sliver of the western retaining wall built by Herod. Since that time, prayer on the Mount has been restricted only for Muslim use.

MODERN HISTORY

Seven Arab armies attacked Israel at its founding in 1948. At the end of the war in 1949, Jerusalem became divided with the western half (almost all completely established since the 1850s) under Israeli sovereignty, and the eastern half (including the Old City dating back 4000 years) under Jordanian sovereignty (which was not recognized by the United Nations). The Jordanians evicted all of the Jews and barred their reentry, even to visit their holy sites, counter to the Fourth Geneva Convention.

In 1967, the Jordanians again attacked Israel. They lost the eastern half of Jerusalem and all of Judea and Samaria, which they had annexed in 1950. Israel reunified the city and made clear that people of all religions – not just Jews – would have access and rights to their holy places. Non-Muslims were once again allowed onto the platform, and Israel gave administrative oversight of the Temple Mount compound to the Jordanian Waqf. Israel annexed the area and the rest of eastern Jerusalem in a move not recognized globally.

In 1988, Jordan gave up all claims to lands it lost to Israel in the 1967 war, and signed a peace treaty with Israel in 1994. In that peace agreement, several key clauses were added to address Jerusalem, Article 9:

· Each Party will provide freedom of access to places of religious and historical significance.

· In this regard, in accordance with the Washington Declaration, Israel respects the present special role of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan in Muslim Holy shrines in Jerusalem. When negotiations on the permanent status will take place, Israel will give high priority to the Jordanian historic role in these shrines.

· The Parties will act together to promote interfaith relations among the three monotheistic religions, with the aim of working towards religious understanding, moral commitment, freedom of religious worship, and tolerance and peace.

WAQF

Islam allows Muslims to place property (land or any object) into a “Waqf”. By doing so, the item comes under the trusteeship of the party specified in the declaration. In the case of the al Aqsa Mosque, the building is considered to be for the public use of all Muslims under the administration of the Jordanian Waqf.

When the al Aqsa mosque was taken over by Crusaders in the 12th century, the place did not lose its special status for Muslims. As stated in Issue 2697: ““If the Waqfed property is ruined, its position as Waqf is not affected, except when the Waqf is of a special nature, and that special feature ceases to exist. For example, if a person endows a garden and the garden is ruined, the Waqf becomes void and the garden reverts to the heirs of the person.”

Properties or entities like the Old City of Jerusalem or the Temple Mount itself can be subdivided according to Islam. As written in Issue 2698: “If one part of a property has been waqfed and the other part is not, and the property is undivided, the Mujtahid, or the trustee of the Waqf, or the beneficiaries can divide the property and separate the Waqf part in consultation with the experts.”

As described above, the Jordanian Waqf took control of the Temple Mount in 1949 and Israel has continued to let the Waqf administer the site. The Jordanian Waqf now employs 500 people to run the mosque. It does this, while Israel maintains all security controls & runs it as part & parcel of Israel.

It would appear that the actions of 1967, 1988 and 1994 laid the groundwork for a sharing of the Temple Mount between Jews and Muslims again. However, it has continued to be a struggle.

POLITICS and PROPAGANDA

Over the last few years, the Waqf has become more politicized, anti-Jewish and anti-Israel, as it was decades ago. Public statements from the Waqf:

· Deny Jewish history at the Temple Mount

· Attempt to deny Jewish rights of access

· Deny Jewish rights to prayer (agreed to by the Israeli government)

· Deny sovereignty of the Jewish State and Jerusalem municipality (agreed by many countries in the United Nations)

Consider a recent discovery of ancient Judaica near the Temple Mount. The Waqf issued a statement that the findings were “an attempt to support Israeli claims about Jewish rights in the holy city and to impose Israeli sovereignty on the occupied holy compound through the use of fake evidence….An immediate Arab and Muslim campaign is needed to stop the Israeli attempts to Judaise the holy city of Jerusalem,”

It is interesting that the Waqf would make a claim of “Judaising” the city of Jerusalem which has had a Jewish majority for 150 years. It was also this same Jordanian Waqf that participated in expelling Jews from the Old City of Jerusalem and barring their entry from 1949-1967.

PEACE ON THE TEMPLE MOUNT

Israel’s perspective: Israel has sought a peaceful situation on the Temple Mount from the very beginning of reunifying Jerusalem. In 1967, Moshe Dayan announced: “To our Arab neighbors we extend, especially at this hour, the hand of peace. To members of the other religions, Christians and Muslims, I hereby promise faithfully that their full freedom and all their religious rights will be preserved. We did not come to Jerusalem to conquer the Holy Places of others.”

The declaration was followed by the establishment of the Protection of Holy Places Law which ensured the rights of all religions to pray at their holy sites.

Today, in an effort to appease the extremist views of the Waqf, radical Palestinians and the Jordanian government itself which threatened to break its peace treaty with Israel, the Israeli government has continued to enforce a ban on Jewish prayer on the Mount.

Muslims’ Perspective: Suleiman pushed the Jews off of the Temple Mount in 1550 and Jordanian Arabs expelled the Jews from the entire Old City in 1949. Muslims and Arabs would clearly prefer that there be no Jews in Jerusalem.

However, according to Islam, there is no conflict with the Temple Mount being completely under Israeli sovereignty as detailed above.

According to the Peace Treaty between Israel and Jordan, the Temple Mount (outside of al Aqsa Mosque) should permit non-Mulsim prayer, despite Jordan’s recent protests.

Israel has continued to extend its full hand to share the Temple Mount. Meanwhile, the Arab world took initial steps some decades ago to recognize Jewish history and rights which do not conflict with Islamic law. Regrettably, recent history has witnessed a more hostile Arab approach.

Perhaps the future will witness peace on the Temple Mount with full access and rights for Jews at their holiest location.

Sources:

Waqf rules: http://www.al-islam. org/islamic-laws-ayatullah- ali-al-husayni-al-sistani/ rules-regarding-waqf

Noble Sanctuary:http://www. noblesanctuary.com/AQSAMosque. html

Palestinian women fight Jews on Temple Mount:http://www.nytimes.com/ 2015/04/17/world/middleeast/ palestinian-women-join-effort- to-keep-jews-from-contested- holy-site.html

9.The Erosion of Free Speech by Denis MacEoin
May 3, 2015 at 5:00 am http://www.gatestoneinstitute. org/5676/free-speech-erosion

“If PEN as a free speech organization can’t defend and celebrate people who have been murdered for drawing pictures, then frankly the organization is not worth the name.” — Salman Rushdie, former President of PEN.

§ Today, a genuine fear of retribution for a “blasphemous” statement has subdued the will to stand up for one’s own beliefs, values and the right to speak out. This fear has made most of the West submissive, just as Islam — in both its name [Islam means “submission”] and declarations — openly wants.

§ This time, the condemnation had not come in a fatwa from Iran’s Supreme leader, but from a Western academic. If we do not reverse this trend, censorship, blasphemy laws, and all the other encumbrances of totalitarians, will return to our lives. The bullies will win.

§ If Geert Wilders and others are being accused of hate speech, then why isn’t the Koran — with its calls for smiting necks and killing infidels — also being accused of hate speech?

§ The mere criticism of a religious belief shared by many people mainly in the Third World has been linked, with no justification, to their genuine prejudice against the inhabitants of the developed world.

Anyone who has had much to do with publishing, or anyone who cares about books and free speech, will be familiar with the American Library Association’s Office for Intellectual Freedom, an enduring champion of the First Amendment and the public’s right to read whatever they please — without the interference and censorship of self-appointed guardians of inoffensiveness and sexual purity.

Every year, the ALA mounts Banned Books Week, a nationwide celebration of our freedom to read. And every year it issues an unnerving list of Frequently Challenged Books. Unnerving because of the pettiness and obsession betrayed by the people who try to have books banned in local libraries, school boards, and even bookshops. For years, most of the attempts to ban books have come from fundamentalist Christian groups; the reasons have mainly been sex, offensive language, or “controversial issues,” whatever they are. God forbid that anyone in the United States be exposed to “controversial issues.”

This year a new note has entered Banned Books Week. Elizabeth McKinstry, a graduate student at Georgia’s Valdosta State University (which earlier in April witnessed students trampling on the American flag) launched a petition about ALA’s anti-censorship poster, calling it “Islamophobic.” There is nothing on the poster, however, that relates in the slightest way to Islam. The poster shows the top of a woman’s head, then her clothed chest and arms. She is not wearing Islamic dress on her head, and her arms and hands are bare. In front of her face, she holds what looks like a book bearing the text “Readstricted.” Her eyes can be seen looking through the cover where it bears the universal symbol for “Restricted” (a red circle with a white bar). That is all.

In her petition, McKinstry writes, “This poster uses undeniably Islamophobic imagery of a woman in a niqab, appears to equate Islam with censorship, and muslim (sic) women as victims.” She goes on to demand that the poster be “removed immediately from the ALA Graphics store, and the ALA Graphics Store and Office of Intellectual Freedom should apologize and explain how they will prevent using discriminatory imagery in the future.” To make matters worse, she goes on to write: “Whether the poster was intentionally or accidentally a racist design, it is still racist and alienating.”

Not only is this possibly an example of political correctness in overdrive, but the greater irony lies in that McKinstry is studying for an MA in library and information science; works as a library associate, and is a member of the ALA. Here we see a distortion of thinking that is grotesque: a person claiming to be “progressive,” trying to ban an anti-censorship poster in an organization that works to end censorship.

* * *

PEN International is known worldwide as an association of writers. Together they work tirelessly for the freedom of authors from imprisonment, torture, or other restrictions on their freedom to write honestly and controversially. This year, PEN’s American Center plans to present its annual Freedom of Expression Award during its May 5 gala to the French satirical magazineCharlie Hebdo. The award will be handed to Gerard Biart, the publication’s editor-in-chief, and to Jean-Baptiste Thorat, a staff member who arrived late on the day when Muslim radicals slaughtered twelve of his colleagues. This is the sort of thing PEN does well: upholding everyone’s right to speak out even when offence is taken.

This year, however, six PEN members, almost predictably, have already condemned the decision to give the award to Charlie Hebdo, and have refused to attend the gala. Peter Carey, Michael Ondaatje, Francine Prose, Teju Cole, Rachel Kushner and Taiye Selasi have exercised their right to double standards by blaming Charlie Hebdo for its offensiveness. Kushner expressed her discomfort with the magazine’s “cultural intolerance.” Does that mean that PEN should never have supported Salman Rushdie for having offended millions of Muslims just to express his feelings about Islam?

Peter Carey expressed his support, not for the satirists, but for the Muslim minority in France, speaking of “PEN’s seeming blindness to the cultural arrogance of the French nation, which does not recognize its moral obligation to a large and disempowered segment of their population.” We never heard him speaking out when Ilan Halimi was tortured to death for weeks, or when Jews in Toulouse were shot. He seems to be saying that the French government should shut up any writer or artist who offends the extreme sensitivities of a small percent of its population.

Teju Cole remarked, in the wake of the killings, that Charlie Hebdo claimed to offend all parties but had recently “gone specifically for racist and Islamophobic provocations.” But Islam is not a race, and the magazine has never been racist, so why charge that in response to the sort of free speech PEN has always worked hard to advance?

A sensible and nuanced rebuttal of these charges came from Salman Rushdie himself, a former president of PEN: “If PEN as a free speech organization can’t defend and celebrate people who have been murdered for drawing pictures, then frankly the organization is not worth the name. What I would say to both Peter and Michael and the others is, I hope nobody ever comes after them.”

Those six have now morphed into something like 145. By April 30, Carey and they were joined by another 139 members who signed a protest petition. Writers, some distinguished, some obscure, have taken up their pens to defy the principle of free speech in an organization dedicated to free speech, and many of whom live in a land that protects it precisely for their benefit with a First Amendment.

Another irony, at least as distasteful as the one just described, took place on April 22, when Northern Ireland’s leading academic institution, Queen’s University in Belfast, announced thecancellation of a conference planned for June. The conference, organized by the university’s Institute for Collaborative Research in the Humanities, was about free speech after the Charlie Hebdo attack in Paris. You could not make this up. The reason given was that the institute had not prepared a proper risk assessment. Risk? Risk to what? To free speech? What a silly thought! No, it turned out to be risk of an Islamist attack in Belfast, a city long weary from terrorism. Finally, on May 1, the university reversed its decision and announced that the event will go ahead.

The following day, the University of Maryland, many miles to the west, banned a showing of the film American Sniper after complaints from Muslim students. Whether the film was good or bad, free speech was snuffed.[1]

The oddity is that today, newspaper headlines, news websites, radio and television news bulletins are packed every day with stories about the chaos in the Middle East, the threat of Iranian access to nuclear weapons, the march of ISIS, Jabhat al-Nusra, Hezbollah, Hamas, the Taliban, al-Shabaab, and dozens of other terrorist groups across the region. This year’sCharlie Hebdo and kosher supermarket slayings, the rise of anti-Semitism across Europe (closely linked to Islamism), demonstrations filling the streets with chants such as “Hamas, Hamas Jews to the Gas,” and all the other atrocities and social disjunctions that arise from the revival of fundamentalist Islam.

America and Britain have fought, with allies, wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and as of this writing, the United States is carrying out air strikes against ISIS in Syria.

Such news stories are not occasional, they are everyday. Stories of this kind are seldom crowded out by anything but the most important news items, such as a major airline crash or significant domestic political events. Such stories are even more visible than Cold War geopolitical new ever was, due to the immense proliferation of news outlets since the 1990s. The citizens of the U.S., Europe, Canada, Australia and (above all) Israel do not face a remote threat from a distant country, but daily threats of being blown up in their own streets almost every day. The British security services announce almost daily the likelihood of a terrorist event.

But where are the novels? Where are the Le Carrés and Ludlums, the Flemings and Clancys? The number of novels dealing with Islamist, terrorist, or state-sponsored threats to the world’s stability (and hence to our own stability and safety) are so few in number, I cannot remember even one. Back to the comfort zone.[2]

This bears thinking about. Is it just a matter of fashion, or are there deeper reasons for this apparent neglect of the most important political and military issues of the present day? Is the literary issue a canary in a coal mine of much greater extent?

The answer is yes. Western culture, once built in part on the principle of free speech — a principle enshrined in the U.S. Constitution’s First Amendment and promoted in all liberal democracies — has been weakened by attacks on the right of everyone to right to speak openly about politics, religion, sexuality, and a host of other things.

The first blow to free speech came in 1989 with demonstrations and riots over British author Salman Rushdie’s controversial 1988 novel, The Satanic Verses; and fears grew when Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, issued a fatwa calling on Muslims to kill Rushdie.

Many people died in riots or were murdered because of association with the book. Bookshops were firebombed in the U.S. and UK; publishers were attacked; booksellers often refused to stock the novel; editors wrote to authors like myself, asking us to decide whether some forthcoming publications dealing with Islam could be safely published, and free speech was under attack.

The most harmful blow, however, came when some Western so-called intellectuals and religious leaders condemned Rushdie and supported a ban on his novel. Immanuel Jakobovits, Chief Rabbi of the United Hebrew Congregations of the Commonwealth, opposed the book’s publication.[3] The Archbishop of Canterbury called for a law of blasphemy that would cover other religions than just Christianity, opening up the spectre that religions, even violent ones such as Islam, could be privileged above other societal actors in a democracy.[4] Sadly, this pattern of betrayal by Western thinkers has been repeated ever since.

What impact has this had? Here is a simple example: Early in 2012, a controversy stormed up in church circles in the United States. Three well-known Christian publishers, Wycliffe Bible Translators, the Summer Institute of Linguistics (SIL) and Frontiers were accused of having pandered to Muslims in their new Arabic and Turkish translations of the New Testament. The translators had replaced terms such as Father (for God) and Son to conform to the Koranic doctrine that God did not have a son and was not a father of anyone. In the Frontiers and SIL translation into Turkish, “guardian” replaces “Father” and “representative” or “proxy” is used for “Son.” Such considerations did not deter earlier Bible translators into Islamic language from an honest statement of a fundamental Christian doctrine. But today, a genuine fear of retribution for a “blasphemous” statement has subdued the will to stand up for one’s own beliefs, values and the right to speak out. This fear has made much of the West submissive, just as Islam — in both its name [Islam means “submission”] and declarations — openly wants.

Since then, the attacks from Islamists on this most basic of Western principles — the central plank in the platform of true democracy and the feature that most distinguishes it from totalitarianism of all forms — have multiplied, culminating in the slaughter carried out by Muslims extremists at the offices of Charlie Hebdo in Paris on January 7, 2015.

Beneath the sporadic physical assaults lies a deeper layer of coercion: the fear lest anyone commit that apparently most unforgiveable crime of all, “Islamophobia!” It now seems that almost anything non-Muslims do may result in such accusations — a bigotry that has also become conflated with racism. The mere criticism of a religious belief shared by people mainly in the Third World has been linked, with no justification, to their genuine prejudice against the inhabitants of the developed world. But since it is Muslims who have been allowed to define “Islamophobia,” often at whim, even the mildest remarks can lead to serious accusations, lawsuits, and criminal attacks.[5]

In the case of Sherry Jones’s novel The Jewel of Medina, historically “revised” to be sympathetic to Islam, Random House in 1988 cancelled the novel’s publication. Its spokesperson stated that the publishing house had been given “cautionary advice not only that the publication of this book might be offensive to some in the Muslim community, but also that it could incite acts of violence by a small, radical segment.”[6]

This time, the condemnation had not come in a fatwa from Iran’s Supreme Leader, but from a Western academic, whose identity is not known to me. On September 28, 2008, British extremist Ali Beheshti and two accomplices set fire to the house of the owner of the UK publishing company that had bought The Jewel of Medina. Fortunately, nobody was killed. But the vise of subjugation to Islamic dictats was tightening round the neck of the free world.

* * *

Rushdie knew he was being controversial; for those who protested, the attacks on him, however reprehensible, had a bizarre justification. Condemnation from Western academics, journalists, interfaith clerics, and politicians shows not how successful intimidation has become, but how timid and craven we have become. To surrender with such spinelessness can only mean that we have entered the first stages of the decline of the Enlightenment values that made the modern West the greatest upholder of human rights and freedoms in history.

Criticism of Islam and everything else will — and should — continue, produced by courageous writers and journalists. Certainly, we know how many times politicians in the United States and Europe have delusionally tried to persuade us that Islamist violence “has nothing to do with Islam.”

There have been many attacks and murders already. Perhaps the best known of these — until the Charlie Hebdo murders — was the murder of Dutch film-maker, Theo van Gogh, on November 2, 2004. Van Gogh had directed a short film called Submission, written by Muslim dissident Ayaan Hirsi Ali, who had worked extensively in women’s shelters in the Netherlands, where she had observed that most of the women were Muslim. Van Gogh’s killer, a 26-year-old Dutch-Moroccan named Mohammed Bouyeri, now serving a life sentence, has described democracy as utterly abhorrent to Islam. (This view, for anyone who cares about the continuation of the West, is held by many Muslims. For them, democracy, made by man, is illegitimate, compared to shari’a law, made by Allah, and therefore the only form of government that is legitimate.) In court, Bouyeri said that ‘the law [shari’a law] compels me to chop off the head of anyone who insults Allah and the prophet.”

The threat of murder has become ever more real. It is no longer possible to dismiss death threats from Muslims as the work of “lone wolves,” “deviant personalities,” or attention seekers. It is the use of death threats that has given radical Muslims the power to deter most writers, film-makers, TV producers, and politicians from tackling Islamic issues. The threat of calling people “racist” as a tool for suppressing critical voices has cast a dark shadow over normal democratic life. Some have died for free speech about Islam; others have faced ostracism, imprisonment, flogging and the loss of a normal life. [7]

Salman Rushdie lives under constant guard. Molly Norris, an American artist who drew a cartoon of Mohammed and proposed an “Everybody Draw Mohammed Day,” has lived in hiding since 2010. On advice from the FBI, she changed her identity and cut off all links with family and friends. The Dutch politician Geert Wilders has been tried for “hate speech,” barely acquitted, and is now being tried for “hate speech” again.

These are just a few of the casualties who have paid a heavy price for their willingness to treat Islam as any of us might treat other subjects or other faiths. No Christian scholar will be tried for arguing that the Gospels contain contradictions, no Reform Jew will be arraigned for criticism of ultra-Orthodox beliefs, no politician will be brought before the law for denouncing the ideologies of Communism or Fascism. You can say that Karl Marx was misguided or that a U.S. president is terrible, and on and on, without dreading for a moment an assassin’s footfall or being locked up for your remarks.

Theo van Gogh
Theo van Gogh (left) was murdered by an Islamist because he made a film critical of Islam. Salman Rushdie (right) was lucky to stay alive, spending many years in hiding, under police protection, after Iran’s Supreme Leader ordered his murder because he considered Rushdie’s novel
The Satanic Verses “blasphemous.”

Incidents such as these or UK Labour Party Leader Ed Miliband’s promise to make Islamophobia a hate crime (without even defining Islamophobia) illustrate the most dangerous result of Islamic agitation and asserted victimhood: it has caused us to turn on ourselves, to abandon our commitment to free speech, open academic enquiry, and the readiness to question everything — the very qualities that have made us strong in the past. When Western so-called intellectuals such as Ian Buruma and Timothy Garton Ash condemn a Muslim apostate such as Ayaan Hirsi Ali for her criticisms of radical Islamism, or when Brandeis University withdraws its offer of an honorary degree for Ms. Ali when Muslim students object, we see our intellectual foundations shake. [8]

It is also necessary to ask, if Geert Wilders and others are being accused of hate speech, then why isn’t the Koran — with its calls for smiting necks and killing infidels — also being accused of hate speech?

If we do not reverse this trend of submission, censorship, blasphemy laws and all the other encumbrances of totalitarianism will return to our lives. The bullies will win, and the Enlightenment will fade and pass away from mankind. Political correctness and shari’a law will rule. How tragic if a senseless fear causes us to do this to ourselves.

Denis MacEoin is a lecturer in Arabic and Islamic Studies. He has an MA in Persian, Arabic and Islamic Studies from Edinburgh University, a PhD in Persian Studies from Cambridge (King’s College) and an MA in English Language and Literature from Trinity College, Dublin.

[1] If you are old enough to remember the Cold War, you will also recall the remarkable outpouring of literary engagement with the issues it provoked. Not just dissident narratives likeAlexander Solzhenitsyn‘s Gulag Archipelago or novels such as his One Day in the Life of Ivan Denisovitch, but the many spy thrillers by mainly British authors like John Le Carré, Len Deighton, Ian Fleming (the creator of James Bond), and many others, Trevor Dudley-Smith (‘Adam Hall’), and Jack Higgins. Later, several Americans came to match the popularity of their British counterparts: Tom Clancy, Robert Ludlum, Nelson DeMille, and others. But with the collapse of the Soviet Union as a threat, Cold War themes rapidly died out.

[2] There have been several films such as The Siege or the more recent American Sniper, and TV shows such as Homeland and the BBC’s award-winning drama The Honourable Woman. In 2014, a new drama appeared on BBC America and is due to play in the UK this April: The Game is set in the 1970s and tells a story of spies fighting the Cold War.

[3] The Times, 4 March 1989.

[4] Michael Walzer, “The Sins of Salman,” The New Republic, 10 April 1989.

[5] The most notorious of the many cases involving perceptions of blasphemy started November 25, 2007, when an English kindergarten teacher at a school in Sudan, Gillian Gibbons, was arrested, interrogated and finally put in a cell at a local police station. Her crime? She had allowed her class of six-year-olds to name their teddy bear “Muhammad.” From this innocent mistake, matters got worse for Gibbons. On November 26, 2007, she was formally charged under Section 125 of the Sudanese Criminal Act, for “insulting religion, inciting hatred, sexual harassment, racism, prostitution and showing contempt for religious beliefs.” Sudan’s top clerics called for the full measure of the law [death] to be used against Mrs. Gibbons; and labeled her actions part of a Western plot against Islam.

On November 29, she was found guilty of “insulting religion” and was sentenced to 15 days’ imprisonment and deportation. The next day, approximately 10,000 protesters, some of them waving swords and machetes, took to the streets in Khartoum, demanding Gibbons’s execution.

In the end, Gibbons was released from jail and allowed to return to Britain. But her case put the fear of savagery in many people’s hearts, as they recognized that it take nothing more than a slip of tongue to bring down death on oneself.

In yet another irony, Sherry Jones, an American writer who said she wanted to bring people together, wrote a novel entitled The Jewel of Medina, a story of the romance (if that is the word) between the Prophet Muhammad and his child bride A’isha, who came to be his most beloved wife. This was a noble project designed to show that Westerners are not all “Islamophobes,” and written in sentimental prose to reassure Muslims of Jones’s warm feelings towards their prophet. Random House bought the story for a large fee. Influenced by the leading apologist for Muhammad, the anti-historian, Karen Armstrong, Jones even bowdlerizes the tale, delaying consummation of the marriage until A’isha had fully attained puberty (despite what the Islamic historians tell us, which is that marriage was apparently consummated when A’isha was nine).

A publication date in 2008 was set and a nationwide tour planned – a promotion few new authors get. But neither Jones nor one of America’s oldest and biggest publishing houses had reckoned with the fallout from The Satanic Verses.

[6] Cited Nick Cohen, You Can’t Read this Book, rev. ed., London, 2013, p. 72.

[7] Danish author Lars Hedegaard has suffered an attack on his life and lives in a secret location. Kurt Westergaard, a Danish cartoonist, has suffered an axe attack that failed, and is under permanent protection the of intelligence services. In 2009, Austrian, a politician, Susanne Winter, was found guilty of “anti-Muslim incitement,” for saying, “In today’s system, the Prophet Mohammad would be considered child-molester,” and that Islam “should be thrown back where it came from, behind the Mediterranean.” She was fined 24,000 euros ($31,000) and given a three-month suspended sentence. In 2011, Elisabeth Sabaditsch-Wolff, a former Austrian diplomat and teacher, was put on trial for “denigration of religious beliefs of a legally recognized religion,” found guilty twice, and ordered to pay a fine or face 60 days in prison. Some of her comments may have seemed extreme and fit for criticism, but the court’s failure to engage with her historically accurate charge that Muhammad had sex with a nine-year-old girl and continued to have sex with her until she turned eighteen, regarding her criticism of it as somehow defamatory, and the judge’s decision to punish her for saying something that can be found in Islamic sources, illustrates the betrayal of Western values of free speech in defense of something we would normally penalize.

[8] This backing away from our Enlightenment values has been documented and criticized by many writers, notably Paul Berman in his 2010 The Flight of the Intellectuals, Britain’s Douglas Murray in Islamophilia (2013), or Nick Cohen in You can’t read this book (2012)

The Erosion of Free Speech by Denis MacEoin

« Rejectionist Israeli government becomes Palestinian asset………Front Page………Obama turns a smiling face to Israel. Biden: Iran has enough material for 8 nuclear bombs »

May 4, 2015 Israpundit by Ted Belman

10.PM orders demolition of EU-funded Palestinian ‘settlements’ in West Bank

T. Belman. This article was dated Feb 6/15. In yesterday’s article, Ari Biggs, Regavim’s director of international relations, said: “But Regavim takes issue not only with Europe, but also with Israel’s bureaucracy and legal system which allows the situation to continue unabated. “Europe has decided to go it alone, and Israel has decided to allow it,”

So which is it? Take note that Bibi made his announcement just prior to the recent elections.

European Union official defends unlicensed construction in Area C, says Palestinians have a right to build there BY JUSTIN JALIL AND JTA February 6, 2015

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu instructed Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon to move forward with a plan to demolish some 400 Palestinian structures built in the West Bank with European funding, Israeli media reported Friday.

The prime minister’s order came shortly after a Thursday exposé in the Daily Mail claimed that the EU sank tens of millions of euros into homes which were not granted building permits by the Israeli government.
Official EU documentation discovered by the newspaper stated that the buildings were intended to “pave the way for development and more authority of the PA over Area C,” raising concerns that the governmental organization was taking sides in the dispute by shaping the demographics of the Israeli-controlled territory.

A portion of the homes, which largely resemble prefabricated caravans, were built in the E1 area between Jerusalem and Ma’ale Adumim and near the Hebrew University’s Mount Scopus campus, according to Israeli news site NRG.

According to the Daily Mail, the construction in 17 locations cost tens of millions in EU public funds.

On Friday, a spokesman for the European Union defended its funding for the unlicensed construction, even as another EU official had denied wrongdoing.

Shadi Othman, a communications officer at the Office of the European Union Representative in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, spoke to the Daily Mail Thursday about the union’s funding the construction of the 400 homes for Palestinians in the West Bank’s Area C, which according to the Oslo Accords remains under Israeli control until a negotiated final agreement.

“This is part of the work done to build the future Palestinian state which will live side by side with Israel,” Othman said. “Palestinians have a right to live there, build schools there, have economic development.”

Maja Kocijancic, a Brussels-based EU spokesperson, earlier denied any wrongdoing, insisting that construction had not taken place.

“The EU’s funding will provide training and expertise, to help the relevant Palestinian Authority ministries to plan and build new infrastructure and enable people to reclaim and rebuild their land there,” she said. “To date, no construction has started yet under these programs. The EU is not funding illegal projects.”

She later declined to comment on a series of photographs purporting the construction of the settlements and an EU-Oxfam sign that stated the main activities of the project was the “rehabilitation and reclamation” of land.

Othman was interviewed about footage collected by the Israeli not-for-profit Regavim, which shows structures bearing plaques with the EU logo. Regavim says the structures were erected in recent months without license from Israeli authorities.

The European Union has long complained to Israel about the thousands of homes built for Jewish settlers in Area C, rejecting Israeli claims that they are built in settlements likely to become part of Israel in a final deal.

Michael Theurer, a German member of the European Parliament and its Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs, told the Daily Mail he was “taking these allegations seriously and will thoroughly investigate them.”

Ari Briggs, the International Director of Regavim and the report’s principal author, insisted that the EU and Oxfam were using the project as a “Trojan horse” to undermine Israeli claims to the area.

“Area C has been identified by the anti-Israel ‘humanitarian community’ as a hot spot to push Israel,” Briggs stated.

“These organizations with EU funding are encouraging and actively aiding the illegal attempt to take over public land. This has nothing to do with human rights and everything to do with taking advantage of less privileged nomadic societies for political goals,” insisted Briggs.

James Carver, a British MEP for the West Midlands region, wrote a letter this week to the European Parliament’s Committee on Foreign Affairs condemning the “illegal” project: “The structures all bear the name and flag of the EU and official EU agents have been photographed participating in overseeing the construction, so the active involvement of the EU can hardly be denied.”

“I kindly call upon you to do your utmost to bring an end to these illegal and destructive activities,” he wrote.

Alan Baker, an international lawyer who took part in the creation of the Oslo Accords, accused the EU of interfering in the conflict.

“The EU is a signatory to the Oslo Accords, so they cannot pick and choose when they recognize it,” he said. “According to international law, all building in Area C must have permission from Israel, whether it is temporary or permanent.”

“The same principle applies anywhere in the world. If you want to build, you need planning permission…The EU is ignoring international law and taking concrete steps to influence the facts on the ground,” Baker stated.

An unnamed Israeli government source claimed the venture exemplified “the double standards of the EU”, which “deplores Israeli settlements in the West Bank while simultaneously funding its own for Palestinians: “If Israel started building houses in the middle of Hyde Park, the British government would immediately take them down…The EU is doing things that would never be acceptable in Europe.”

MK Yariv Levin also accused the Europeans of double-speak.

“It is hypocritical of the EU to criticize Israeli construction while at the same time actively supporting and practically taking part in illegal Palestinian settlement construction on Israeli land,” the Likud MK charged.

The European Union is opposed to Jewish construction in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, maintaining it is counterproductive to the emergence of a Palestinian state.

PM orders demolition of EU-funded Palestinian ‘settlements’ in West Bank

PM told US secretary of state to wait until after he had formed a new coalition; my trip ‘was going to happen sooner,’ confirms Kerry BY STUART WINER May 3, 2015, 11:14 pm

Prime MinisterPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks with US Secretary of State John Kerry in Jerusalem, Thursday, December 5, 2013 (photo credit: Kobi Gideon/GPO/Flash90)

Stuart WinerStuart Winer is a breaking news editor at The Times of Israel.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told US Secretary of State John Kerry to hold off from visiting Israel earlier this year because the Israeli leader was busy trying to form a coalition, Channel 2 reported on Sunday.

Shortly after the March 17 elections, Kerry requested to convene with Netanyahu on regional affairs, including peace negotiations with the Palestinians that have been stalled since 2014.

But Netanyahu indicated to Kerry that the timing was not right and he preferred to delay the meeting until after he had hammered out a new coalition, a task he has yet to complete.

There was no immediate confirmation from American officials.

But speaking to Channel 10 in an interview aired Sunday night, Kerry said he hoped to visit Israel in the coming weeks, and indicated that he had planned to come earlier. “I look forward to traveling there and visiting,” he said. “It was going to happen sooner; it may happen now in the next weeks when they get a government.”

Netanyahu has yet to form a new government, a task he has only until Thursday to complete.

Netanyahu’s rebuffing of Kerry came amid a nadir in ties between Washington and Jerusalem over disagreements on how to tackle Iran’s nuclear program, and US frustration with the lack of progress on peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians.

US-brokered peace talks stalled last year after a nine-month effort when Abbas agreed to sign a unity pact with Gaza-based terrorist group Hamas, and amid a dispute over prisoner releases and settlements.

In the Channel 10 interview, Kerry said he hoped Netanyahu was committed to a two-state solution, and praised the work the prime minister had put in to reach an agreement.

“The key now,” said Kerry, was to put Netanyahu’s commitment to the two-state solution “to the test.” The prime minister needed “to quickly show the world that indeed what he has said [about supporting the two-state solution] is a policy that is being put into day-to-day practice.”

Kerry’s comments were milder than past administration criticisms of the prime minister over pre-election statements he made seemingly taking Palestinian statehood off the table, statements he later walked back.

Netanyahu has continued to lobby against a US-backed framework agreement between Iran and world powers over Tehran’s nuclear program reached at the beginning of April.

On Sunday the prime minister met with US Senator Rob Portman (R-OH), who chairs the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations of the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.

Netanyahu noted that Israel and the US remained deeply divided over the nuclear deal.

Netanyahu has urged that it doesn’t go far enough in preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons and too quickly eases economic sanctions imposed on Iran to force it into reaching an agreement.

Benjamin Netanyahu
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) meets with Chairman of the Committee for Home Front Security in the American Senate, Rob Portman (R-OH), May 3, 2015. (photo credit: Haim Zach/GPO)

“On the matter of the pending Iran deal, we view things differently,” Netanyahu said. “We think that the goal of the Iran deal should not be just to reach any deal. It should be to block Iran’s path to the bomb. And to block Iran’s path to the bomb, we need a deal that prevents Iran from having what is given to it in Lausanne.”

Netanyahu pointed out that the framework agreement leaves Iran with “a vast nuclear infrastructure that is not needed for civilian nuclear energy” enabling Tehran to produce fuel for “dozens” of nuclear bombs with almost no breakout time — the period need to convert enriched uranium into a working bomb.

“And it also fills Iran’s coffers in a very short time with tens of billions of dollars to fuel its aggression and its terrorism,” he added. “There are those who tell us that this will not endanger Israel. I have to tell you as the Prime Minister of Israel responsible for Israel’s security, it endangers Israel, it endangers the region, it endangers the world, the entire world in my opinion. So I think it’s very important to insist on a better deal.”

Israeli officials led by Netanyahu have demanded that the nuclear deal between the US, Britain, France, Russia, China, and Germany — known as the P5+1 — and Iran dismantle the Iranian enrichment capabilities.

The current agreement, that is to be finalized by a June 30 deadline would allow Iran to keep thousands of its uranium enrichment centrifuges working.

US President Barack Obama and Kerry insist that a stringent inspection regime of all Iran’s nuclear facilities will be enough to prevent development of a bomb for years to come and that sanctions will be lifted only when Iran implements the terms of the final deal.

12.The Maersk Tigris Game Change: Iran’s Big “Little Maneuver” in the Strait of Hormuz by: J. E. Dyer TheJewishPress.com Published: May 3rd, 2015

Maersk Tigris
The Maersk Tigris

{Originally posted to author’s website, Liberty Unyielding}

The game of international power dynamics has just shifted in a major way. It will take a little time for the consequences to be visible to the public eye. But I don’t think it will take that much time. We’re talking months, at most, if not weeks. Iran is getting no pushback from the “international community,” and is moving quickly now.

Two points to take this forward on. First, the Maersk Tigris, the Marshall Islands-flagged cargo ship detained by Iran on Tuesday, is still being held by Iran. The situation remains unresolved.

Second, the U.S. Navy will begin accompanying U.S.-flagged commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz (SOH). This is not the robust use of force it may seem to be, nor is it a repeat of the tanker-escort operation (Earnest Will)* in 1987-88, during the Iran-Iraq war. It’s a tacit surrender, in fact.

The decision to accompany U.S.-flagged shipping in the SOH is a finger in a dike, and what it actually means is that the international convention that has governed safe transit of the Strait of Hormuz for decades has already collapsed. Appointing a U.S. Navy escort in the conditions of 2015 is an acknowledgment that there’s nothing we can do about the chaos that is now cracking the pillars of international order. We can try to protect our own shipping, but there will be no enforcement of a principle of safe passage through international straits, as a basic building block of order among the nations.

The circumstances of 2015 are very different from those of the 1980s. One of the key ways they’re different is that there has been no war-related threat to Persian Gulf shipping in the 2010s. Although Iraq is basically in a civil war, there is no war between nations spilling over into the Gulf, and no generalized threat of mine, missile, or air attacks on shipping.

Instead, Iran is breaching the conventions of the Law of the Sea in order to assert a hegemonic veto over shipping in the SOH.** Iran purports to be at war with no one, and hasn’t claimed a national-defense need to take the unusual and arguably criminal step of detaining a ship exercising the right of innocent passage in an international strait.

Maersk Tigris isn’t an asset of the Maersk Line – the ship’s not owned by Maersk – and neither is the cargo she carries.# Iran has impounded the assets of innocent third parties, in an alleged attempt to collect a debt from 2005 owed by Maersk because of an Iranian court judgment.

A coastal state’s prerogatives in an international strait don’t give it the right to do this. In fact, the UN Convention on Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) prohibits what Iran did on Tuesday. The only prerogative it recognizes for a coastal state to stop a ship exercising innocent passage is to enforce national laws which that specific ship may be in violation of. (See Article 28.) According to the reason Iran gave for detaining her, Maersk Tigris is a third party in breach of no Iranian law or judgment.

Commentators have been quite correct to point out that this isn’t the way it’s done. This is a pugilistic power move, characteristic of syndicate crime bosses (and pirates) but not of nation states in the UN era. It will create a ripple of alarm and loss of confidence throughout the Gulf shipping industry: it will make insurance rates go up, and cause trading and shipping nations to scramble to find a reliable status quo again.


map-traking
Automated report tracking of Maersk Tigris intercept on 28 April. (Image via @PatMegahan, Twitter)

The post-Pax reality of chokepoint power dynamics

But it won’t be the “concert of nations” they appeal to. It won’t be the UN, or a world under U.S. leadership, with the U.S. armed forces and American alliances standing behind general guarantees of free and safe passage in global tradeways.

Instead, those who want to continue trading unmolested will have to arrange that with Iran. Whether the price is a form of fee or tribute, or something more open-ended like support for Iran’s policies, that’s what it means for Iran to exercise a veto over the Strait of Hormuz. This used to be a common type of extortion, before the Royal Navy drove it out in most of the world’s key chokepoints by the late 19th century.

Iran has been making noises in this direction for several years now. In 2010, Iranian media reported that forces conducting a naval exercise stopped two ships in the SOH – one French-flagged, one Italian – to perform “environmental inspections,” basically as practice for when Iran would want to exercise a veto in that form.

The Iranian parliament, the Majlis, has also several times introduced legislation that would require foreign ships to obtain Iran’s permission to transit the SOH.

Adjusting to a strait held hostage by a local hegemon is not something that would unfold straightforwardly, or along a single path. The clarity that comes with having a super-hegemon, as the U.S. once was, goes by the wayside when there isn’t one.

It’s not just about the shipping of outside nations, or even of nations inside the chokepoint; it’s about the relations of all the nations around the chokepoint, and the level of resistance they show with each other, or the level of armament and assertiveness they consider necessary.

Outside patrons (like Russia and China) get into the mix. If a strait is important enough, other major nations (like India and Japan) are motivated to achieve the status of outside patrons.

This isn’t “about” everyone rushing to war or starting to shoot at each other, especially in the Strait of Hormuz. The nations won’t want to rush to war, at least not with each other. But now that they can’t count on the United States to keep the SOH open for free and safe passage, geography will look different to them, and force will be seen as more and more necessary.

USS Farragut
USS Farragut (DDG-99), first responder on 28 April, 2015 (photographed in the Gulf of Aden in 2010)

That’s one of the chief reasons Saudi Arabia is fighting so hard in Yemen now. Yemen lies on the Saudi border, yes – but so does Iraq, and the Saudis have been almost entirely silent on events there. Yemen sits between two of the three straits that ring Saudi Arabia, and from Yemen, Iran can flank Saudi territory and exercise a veto over those two straits. From Riyadh’s perspective, Iran mustbe denied a foothold there.

The game, changing

That’s why the Saudis are waging a serious war in Yemen, one in which, just this week, they have twice attacked the main international airport in Sana’a to render it non-operational, so that Iran can’t use it. This is war war,” and things are bound to get worse. The Saudis will destroy as much infrastructure as necessary to deny Yemeni facilities to Iran.

This is a significant shift in the character of what’s been going on in the Middle East. Up to now, the belligerents have been insurgencies and beleaguered central governments. The wars have inflicted mass-scale destruction, certainly.

But it hasn’t been sovereign states attacking overtly across borders that have inflicted the destruction. Sovereign states, up to now, have attacked to destroy arms caches (Israel in Syria) or deter ragtag insurgencies (Jordan et al in Iraq and Syria).

Saudi Arabia – along with Egypt, as far as she’ll go – is going to do whatever it takes to defeat the plans of another sovereign state, Iran, in Yemen. That’s a different order of war.

saudi-strait
The Saudi “strait”-jacket. Iran is actively angling for control of two out of three
.

(Google map; author annotation)

It’s in this context that Iran seized the Maersk Tigris as much to advance her aggressive push toward the Red Sea as to achieve other effects. The signal Iran is sending is not the one a sleepy West perceives. It’s not a symbolic fist being shaken at America. It’s the beginning of a strategy to exercise Tehran’s long-desired veto over the Strait of Hormuz.

The approach, oblique

Iran is keeping the approach oblique: not challenging the U.S. directly, but making it an incident in which U.S. power will be implicated – for better or worse. It’s a challenge based on a bogus premise, one that’s illegitimate from the standpoint of international convention. But it’s one that won’t draw fire either. The seizure of Maersk Tigris is provocative; line-crossing; but without giving anyone an unambiguous justification for shooting back.

Assuming America does not act to enforce international conventions, however, Iran will have proved her point that the conventions are no longer enforced. Therefore, Iran holds a veto over the SOH now. She probably won’t take big, disruptive actions quickly. She’ll try to do things incrementally (watch out for those “environmental inspections”).

But the mullahs will have a new bargaining chip with which to deal a death blow to multinational sanctions. And the nations of Europe, America’s remaining stalwart allies in sanctions enforcement, are also some of the most concerned about safe passage in the SOH – and about the Iranian alternative to Russia and North Africa as a source of oil and gas.

Wealthy the European nations may be, but not one of them has the power – or the desire – to play the United States’ Pax Americana role and enforce a generalized international-strait regime in the SOH. They’ll find ways to play ball with Iran, at least for the time being.

In the long run, the post-Pax story of the Strait will involve some low-level shooting (which may be a giant headache for some, like the Saudis and the UAE, although perhaps not most Europeans); some bilateral agreements between other nations and Iran – extortion cloaked in amity; some high-level shooting to block Iran’s other moves that are geo-strategically integrated with the SOH situation; and fresh efforts (like the notorious Oman pipeline) to reroute trade so that the Strait can be avoided.

The shift here is subtle but game-changing; not immediately inflammatory on the order of Germany invading Poland, but destabilizing, and forcing pervasive realignment and adjustment. Armed force and maneuver will be a big part of that.

The problem of at-risk chokepoints will spread, with Iran’s proof-of-concept move. The Bab-el-Mandeb Strait between the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea is already in Iran’s sights. [I think that’s why Iran has aggressed against Yemen, taking her capital city, Sana’a – to control the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. Gail]

The Strait of Malacca is already in China’s (along with the Taiwan Strait, of course). As fast as things are now moving in the pressure points of the Eastern hemisphere, it is foolish to insist that changes can’t happen in the near future.

That will alarm many nations. An America that merely escorts our own flagged ships will be less and less attractive as a leader or even an ally. Amplifying that trend will be the fact that we could run out of assets far sooner than most Americans imagine.

We’re skint

The Navy won’t be running convoys through the Strait, or pulling literal “escort” duty. It appears that the Navy will be on-call to monitor Iranian activity in the Strait while U.S.-flagged ships are in transit, a posture that can be ramped up to dedicated escort at need, but without naval escort being imposed on U.S. merchant ships as a routine condition of passage (something the president has authority to do).

The profile of operations is thus as open-ended as the timeframe for the requirement. The best way to put it is to say we’ll have to keep a duty warship in the SOH for escort contingencies.

But Iran can play this game much more cheaply than we can. Iran has only to outgun single merchant ships, at times of her choosing.

We have to be ready at any time to outgun, outmaneuver, and face down everything Iran can deploy from her nearby shore: war planes, missiles, small boat swarms, submarines, mini-subs, mines. Capable as our escort ships are, this is not a job for a single destroyer or cruiser, if Iran becomes seriously aggressive. It’s certainly not a job for a minesweeper or a Cyclone-class patrol craft (PC), which together represent six of the ships available for the task.

If we have to use the aircraft carrier to give our escort ships enough of an edge, we then face a serious question about policy and misallocation of assets. The carrier wouldn’t be a comfortable solution in any case. But there’s also the problem, with the carrier and all the other ships, that we don’t have enough of them to enforce an escort regime, against Iran’s wishes. Such enforcement involves not just assets but time. We have to be able to keep doing it.

About the Author: J.E. Dyer is a retired US Naval intelligence officer who served around the world, afloat and ashore, from 1983 to 2004.

Iran’s Big “Little Maneuver” in the Strait of Hormuz By: J. E. Dyer

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